New Delhi: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released its much-anticipated summer forecast for the period of March to May 2024, painting a picture of a season characterized by scorching temperatures, increased heatwave days, and potentially uneven rainfall patterns across the country. Let’s delve deeper into the details and understand what this summer might hold for different regions of India.
Heatwave Woes Likely:
- Widespread Heat: The IMD predicts above-normal maximum temperatures for most parts of the country, with the exception of some isolated areas in the northwest, northeast, central, and peninsular regions. This signifies a potentially long and sweltering summer for a significant portion of the population.
- Heatwave Intensification: The forecast also warns of an increase in the number of heatwave days across the country, particularly in states like Rajasthan, Gujarat, Haryana, Punjab, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Odisha, Chhattisgarh, and Telangana. Additionally, parts of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu might experience intense heat spells during the summer months.
Rainfall: A Mixed Bag:
- Overall Increase Predicted: While the overall national rainfall for the season is expected to be above average, the distribution is likely to be uneven.
- Areas of Concern: The IMD foresees below-normal rainfall in the extreme southeast regions of the South Peninsula, as well as the northeast and extreme northwest parts of the country. This could exacerbate existing drought conditions and raise water scarcity concerns in these areas.
Regional Variations:
- North-Eastern Peninsular India: This region might witness a rise in heatwave days, causing discomfort and potential health risks.
- Maharashtra: Many areas within Maharashtra are predicted to experience an increase in heatwave days, alongside the potential for severe weather events early in March.
- Odisha and Surrounding Areas: Similar to Maharashtra, parts of Odisha and surrounding regions could face an increase in heatwave days.
- Western Himalayas: The IMD has issued a warning for the early days of March, predicting heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, lightning, and strong winds in the Western Himalayan region, encompassing Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and North Madhya Pradesh.
Beyond the Forecast:
While the IMD’s summer forecast provides valuable insights, it’s crucial to remember that weather patterns can be unpredictable. It’s essential to stay updated with the latest weather advisories issued by the IMD and other reliable sources, especially during periods of intense heat or potential severe weather events.
Taking Precautions:
Here are some precautionary measures you can take to stay safe during the hot summer months:
- Stay hydrated: Drink plenty of water throughout the day, even if you don’t feel thirsty. Avoid sugary drinks and opt for natural alternatives like coconut water or buttermilk.
- Minimize exposure to the sun: Avoid prolonged periods outdoors during the hottest part of the day, typically between 11 am and 4 pm. Wear protective clothing like hats, sunglasses, and loose-fitting, light-colored cotton garments.
- Seek air conditioning or cooling spaces: Spend time in air-conditioned rooms or public spaces like libraries or malls if possible, especially during extreme heat.
- Be mindful of vulnerable individuals: Check in on elderly family members, young children, and those with pre-existing health conditions who are more susceptible to heat-related illnesses.
