West Bengal Election 2026: Will the BJP Come in Bengal after 15 years, or will TMC remain in power? 

Sweta Mitra
5 Min Read

West Bengal Election 2026: The two-phase 2026 assembly election process has ended in Bengal. Now it’s time for the results. Who will come to power in Bengal, Trinamool or BJP? This discussion is now at its peak. The election results will be announced on May 4. The countdown for this has begun. According to exit polls, the electoral patterns in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry show inconsistencies. While certain states are anticipated to secure clear majorities, others are likely to experience tight races.

What will transpire in Bengal?

The exit poll data for the West Bengal Assembly elections forecasts a very close competition between the BJP and the TMC. The exit polls in West Bengal seem to be split. Some pollsters, including ‘Matriz’ and ‘P-Mark’, are forecasting a majority for the BJP (148+ seats), while others predict the downfall of Mamata Banerjee’s stronghold.

On the other hand, exit polls conducted by survey organizations such as People’s Pulse and Janmat have suggested a return to power for the TMC. Additionally, the Left and Congress are expected to find themselves in a vulnerable position. As a result, the Bengal Assembly elections are shaping up to be a tight race, with the

Apart from this, the way BJP, for the sake of religious polarization, accused Mamata Banerjee of being pro-Muslim and helping the infiltrators coming from Bangladesh, also had a political impact. The results of the Bengal Assembly elections will be announced on May 4th. But before that, the results of the Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll have been released. According to the survey, the BJP could form the government after 15 years. According to the Today’s Chanakya Exit Poll, the BJP could win 192 seats. Meanwhile, the TMC+ alliance is projected to win 100 seats.

Recently, West Bengal’s Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee claimed that the exit polls suggesting a BJP victory in the assembly elections are intended to undermine the morale of Trinamool Congress workers and leaders.

She dismissed most of the exit poll predictions that either showed a rise for the BJP in Bengal or a very close contest with her party, expressing her belief that the Trinamool would secure at least 226 seats.

The Bengal assembly consists of 294 seats, and the state recorded its highest voter turnout ever at 92.47 percent.

“We will surpass 226 seats in 2026. We might even exceed 230 seats. I have full confidence in the overwhelming mandate from the people,” Banerjee stated, expressing gratitude to the public for their significant turnout “despite the heat and alleged intimidation.”

She claimed that the predictions made by the exit polls are part of a “larger conspiracy” to sway public perception before the election results are revealed. The votes will be counted on Monday.

“Those who attempted to suppress Bengal have been defeated by the ballot,” Banerjee remarked, thanking party workers who “fought tirelessly and faced attacks.” She urged for calm, asking her supporters to avoid violence even if provoked.

“Stay calm and disciplined. Trust the people of Bengal and trust Didi. Wait until the evening of May 4, and you will have your answer,” said the Bengal chief minister, who has held power for the past 15 years.

Only one exit poll, conducted by Peoples Pulse, predicted that the Trinamool would win with a clear majority of 177-187 seats, giving the BJP 95-110.

Other polls, like Matrize, suggested the BJP could secure 146-161 seats while the Trinamool might get around 125-140. Poll Diary indicated a BJP win with 142-171 seats, assigning the Trinamool 95-110 seats.

P-Marq data estimated the BJP could achieve 150-175 seats, with the Trinamool getting 118-138 seats. Chanakya Strategies forecasted the BJP would obtain between 150 to 160 seats, while the Trinamool would get 130-140.

 

 

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Working in the media for last 7 years. The journey started in the year 2018. For the past few years, my working experience has been in Bengali media. Currently working at Timesbull.com. Here I write like Business, National, and Utility News. My favorite hobbies are listening to music, traveling, food, and books. For feedback - timesbull@gmail.com