New Delhi: Following the conclusion of voting in the assembly elections across five states, exit polls have now been released. With the elections having concluded in Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry, political parties across the spectrum are staking claims to form the government. This time around, the exit polls have delivered some surprising results.
Key Highlights
West Bengal — Big Upset? BJP Surges
Magic figure: 148 seats out of 294
| Poll Agency | BJP Projected Seats |
|---|---|
| Praja Poll | 178 – 208 |
| P-Marq | 150 – 175 |
| Poll Diary | 142 – 171 |
| Chanakya Strategies | 150 – 160 |
| Matrize | 146 – 161 |
According to the exit polls, Mamata Banerjee—the Chief of the Trinamool Congress and incumbent Chief Minister of West Bengal—could potentially lose her grip on power. In West Bengal, predictions suggest that the BJP is poised to form the government. In Tamil Nadu, the DMK appears set to emerge victorious once again. Meanwhile, in Assam and Puducherry, the NDA is projected to secure a majority. Read on below to find out exactly which party is expected to win how many seats in each state, according to the exit polls.
DMK Government Again in Tamil Nadu
In the Tamil Nadu assembly elections, the DMK appears poised to form the government once again. In the 234-seat assembly, a party requires 118 seats to secure a majority. According to the ‘Praja Poll’ exit poll, the DMK could win between 148 and 168 seats. ‘Chanakya Strategy’ projects that the DMK is likely to secure between 145 and 160 seats. Overall, the majority of exit polls predict that the DMK will secure a seat tally exceeding the magic figure required for a majority.
The BJP Wave Returns to Assam
In the 2026 Assam assembly elections, expectations are high that the BJP wave will sweep through the state once again. The NDA—the BJP-led alliance—appears set to make a comeback. In the 126-seat Assam assembly, 64 seats are required to form the government. Major survey agencies—such as ‘Axis My India,’ ‘JVC-Times Now,’ ‘Poll Diary,’ and ‘Vote Vibe’—have projected that the BJP alliance could win as many as 100 to 101 seats. Conversely, predictions for the Congress party range from a total of 30 to 35 seats in some polls, to as few as 20 to 25 seats in others. This constitutes a major setback for the Congress party.
Congress Alliance May Find Relief in Kerala
According to exit polls for the Kerala Assembly elections, the Congress-led UDF alliance appears poised to secure a majority. The state comprises a total of 140 Assembly seats, requiring a tally of 71 seats to reach the ‘magic figure’ for a majority. Out of the eight exit polls released, seven indicate that the Congress-led UDF alliance is on track to secure a clear majority. ‘Axis My India’ has predicted the UDF’s biggest victory, projecting a seat count of 78–90. Conversely, the ruling Left-led LDF alliance is projected to be restricted to a range of just 49–62 seats.
What Do the Exit Polls Say About Puducherry?
In Puducherry as well, if the exit poll predictions hold true, the NDA appears set to secure a majority. According to estimates by ‘Praja Poll’ and ‘Kamakhya Analytics,’ the NDA could win more than 20 seats. These trends make it abundantly clear that the people of Puducherry have once again decided to entrust the keys to power to the NDA alliance.
Who Is Ahead in the West Bengal Surveys?
According to exit polls for the 2026 West Bengal Assembly elections, five polls predict the formation of a BJP government, while two predict a government led by the Trinamool Congress. ‘Praja Poll’ has predicted a massive victory for the BJP, estimating that the party will win between 178 and 208 seats. ‘Poll Diary’ (142–171), ‘P-Marq’ (150–175), ‘Chanakya Strategies’ (150–160), and ‘Matrize’ (146–161) have also projected the BJP crossing the majority threshold.
