Cyclone Arnab: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a warning regarding a low pressure area over the Bay of Bengal. According to the weather department, this weather system could strengthen into a cyclonic storm over the next few days and into a very severe cyclonic storm by October 27. As a result, extremely heavy to very heavy rainfall is forecast for the coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha between October 27 and 29. The weather department has also issued a pre-cyclone watch warning for the coasts of Andhra Pradesh and adjoining southern Odisha.
The system may turn into a deep depression on October 25
According to the Meteorological Department’s latest bulletin, the low pressure area over the Bay of Bengal is likely to persist in the same region and intensify into a depression on Saturday. It could then intensify into a deep depression on October 25th. It is then very likely to intensify into a cyclonic storm over the west-central Bay of Bengal by the morning of October 26th.
As per IMD, The Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal moved southeastwards with speed of 5 kmph during past 6 hours, and lay centered at 0530 hours IST of today, the 25th October, 2026 over the same region, near Latitude 15.3°N and Longitude 91.2°E, about 440 km north-northwest of Sri Vijaya Puram (Andaman Islands), 880 km east-southeast of Vishakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh), 980 km east-southeast of Kakinada (Andhra Pradesh), 1080 km east of Machilipatnam (Andhra Pradesh) and 1150 km east of Bapatla (Andhra Pradesh).
It is very likely to move nearly southwards, intensify into a Deep Depression and then gradually recurve west-northwestwards over the Eastcentral & adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal today 25th October. Continuing to move west-northwestwards, it is very likely to intensify further into a cyclonic storm over the Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal by 26th October morning, and into a severe cyclonic storm over westcentral Bay of Bengal around morning of 27th October, 2026.
The Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal moved southeastwards with speed of 5 kmph during past 6 hours, and lay centered at 0530 hours IST of today, the 25th October, 2026 over the same region, near Latitude 15.3°N and Longitude 91.2°E, about 440 km north-northwest of Sri Vijaya Puram (Andaman Islands), 880 km east-southeast of Vishakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh), 980 km east-southeast of Kakinada (Andhra Pradesh), 1080 km east of Machilipatnam (Andhra Pradesh) and 1150 km east of Bapatla (Andhra Pradesh).
It is very likely to move nearly southwards, intensify into a Deep Depression and then gradually recurve west-northwestwards over the Eastcentral & adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal today 25th October. Continuing to move west-northwestwards, it is very likely to intensify further into a cyclonic storm over the Eastcentral & adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal by 26th October morning, and into a severe cyclonic storm over westcentral Bay of Bengal around morning of 27th October, 2026.
Heavy rains threaten Andhra Pradesh and Odisha from October 27 to 29
The Meteorological Department has forecast extremely heavy to very heavy rainfall in coastal Andhra Pradesh and Odisha between October 27 and 29. Weather monitoring is underway along the coastal areas of both states in anticipation of a potential cyclonic storm. The IMD has issued a pre-cyclone watch warning for the Andhra Pradesh and adjoining southern Odisha coasts.
— India Meteorological Department (@Indiametdept)
“>October 25, 2026
Thereafter, it is very likely to move northwestwards, intensify further into a very severe cyclonic storm and reach Westcentral Bay of Bengal near Andhra Pradesh coast around morning of 28th October, 2026. It is very likely to cross Andhra Pradesh & Yanam coasts between Bapatla and Visakhapatnam as a very severe cyclonic storm with the maximum sustained wind speed of 115-125 kmph gusting to 140 kmph by forenoon of 28th October, 2026.